Ares Capital posted excellent results in the IIIQ 2025, but that’s already old news to investors. However, some preliminary data from the IVQ 2025 suggests the BDC’s future earnings might take a step down shortly.
For a second week BDC sector prices are moving up. With earnings season beginning next week is the great price meltdown, that began in July, over ? After reviewing the week’s key metrics, we look ahead and seek to answer that question.
We have a contrary view to share about a recent Bloomberg article that features the public BDC industry.
In a week where some were saying “cracks” were appearing in private credit, BDC prices bounced back after 6 weeks in the red. We review the mini-rally and what might come next. We also spend too much time rebutting unkind words from Jamie Dimon about private credit and BDCs.
Gladstone Capital is the first well performing BDC to pre-emptively cut its regular distribution in the anticipation of lower earnings due to interest rate cuts. We analyze what two different interest rate scenarios might do to the BDC’s profitability but we also quantify other factors that could help or hinder this previously high flying BDC.
Ahead of every other BDC Palmer Square Capital BDC has reported its net asset value per share at the end of September 2025. The metric is below the level at the end of June and we believe we mostly know why.
On paper – going by the BDC’s own pro-forma projections – Saratoga Investment’s earnings could drop substantially should interest rates continue to decline. However, the BDC’s manager has multiple options to protect its profitability.
This was (yet another) week to forget for anyone long BDC common stocks. We review the metrics. Also, the BDC Reporter takes a snapshot of where the BDC sector sits 41 weeks into this roller coaster of a year and then tackles the $64,000 question: will prices continue to drop for a consecutive 7th week…
Week 40 of 2025 was also Week 5 of the BDC sector price drop. We roll out the latest metrics for the week and the year-to-date and do our best to address the biggest unknown of all: what happens next and why.
Fidus Investment has joined the long line of BDCs raising new unsecured debt to replace maturing issues. We have another look at this sector-wide phenomenon and evaluate whether swapping out debt will have a material effect on the BDC’s profitability.
A leading auto parts conglomerate with billions of dollars in debt has just filed for bankruptcy which is causing concerns in the credit markets. We have an in-depth look at the BDC sector’s involvement in this setback and discuss whether we should be worried about further shoes dropping.
Market observers will already know this: Week 39 was a terrible, no good one for BDC investors, especially those invested in financial underperformers and newly public players. Nonetheless, we de-construct the recent data and also review where the sector stands at this point in 2025. Finally, we offer up what a BDC “bull” – if one still exists – might argue about the future price outlook.
Main Street Capital – like many other BDCs – has been busy of late issuing and repaying debt. We have a look at the BDC’s latest refinancing, what is coming down the road and the implications for the balance sheet and profitability of this ever popular player.
BDC prices are taking a beating. In the past few weeks the sector is substantially down and the number of individual stocks at a new 52 week low this week is reaching record levels. We take a look at all the new 52 week lows to determine what can be learned from the identities of the BDCs reaching their nadirs.
On hearing of Palmer Square Capital’s latest dividend, we were inspired to calculate how much the BDC’s earnings and dividend might change if we really get the big drop in short term rates that so many investors are counting on. This takes us all the way out to 2027 and all calculations are very hypothetical.
There have been too many BDC junior debt issues of late to discuss individually. Instead, we compiled a table of all the debt raised in the IIIQ 2025 and discussed some of the trends which show up. We come away pretty encouraged.
For the third week in a row BDC prices were down, but not as much as they could have been going by the first few days of the week. The year-to-date results for the sector are mediocre at this point with 14 weeks to go, but a few individual BDCs are flying high nonetheless. Looking forward, we muse about possible price and dividend outcomes for the sector.
One of the largest public BDC has set a new 52 week price low. FS KKR Capital may be the first of many to reach new depths as the BDC market has suddenly turned antsy.
For the past few days Gladstone Capital has been announcing significant changes to its debt facilities. This week, the BDC filled in the picture further, which has allowed us to quantify what the impact on its balance sheet and income statement will look like for the next year and a half.
As so often happens of late, the major indices and the BDC sector moved in different price directions this week. We discuss which BDCs were the most affected. We also take a clear-eyed view at where the BDC sector stands on the eve of short term rates being reduced again. There are numerous scenarios that could play out beyond a (0.25%) Fed rate cut and we discuss many of them.
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